WEB LINKS: FUTURE TRENDS

http://www.magportal.com allows you to search a variety of topics, e.g., business, science & technology, society, politics and culture. Each sub-site has a variety of topics.

For example, the following website provides direct links to articles that address future business trends. http://www.magportal.com/c/bus/future/ .Then there is the site that addresses future technology trends (links to four articles published in September 2004 and to over 200 past articles).  http://www.magportal.com/c/sci/future/

Millennium Project Reports - executive summary of future trends

http://www.acunu.org/millennium/Executive-Summary-2004.pdf

“Navigating the Badlands:  Thriving in the Decade of Radical Transformation” by Mary O'Hara-Devereaux.  Jossey Bass, 2004.  The author describes global drivers of change and then goes into examples of how to navigate by creating resilient organizations, engaging people deeply, learning more about China, and embracing global interdependence. To read Chapter One, Making Sense of the Big Picture, go to: http://media.wiley.com/product_data/excerpt/83/07879713/0787971383-1.pdf

Leah Elison .  Publi= Relations Tactics  New York:Jul 2004.  Vol. 11,  Iss= 7,  p. 27,37 

http://www.futurist.com/futuristnews/currentissue.htm

As a Web site, Futurist.com focuses on the dissemination of information about the future and how to create it. Our commitment is to a greater understanding and enthusiasm about the future and future-related subjects. Our audience is global. Futurist.com supports learning for individuals, professionals, and enterprises.

“The coming labor shortage” by John A Challenger .  ( The Futurist  Washington: Sep/Oct 2003.  Vol. 37, Issue 5, p. 24-28) Thanks to an unprecedented convergence of demographic and educational trends, labor shortages are expected to return at a greater level in the immediate future. Labor shortages may become so severe that retirement as it is presently known will vanish. The age at which people can begin collecting Social Security benefits will move from it's current level of 65 up to 75 in order to oblige older workers to stay in the workforce as long as they can. In less than seven years, there will be nearly 168 million jobs in the U.S. economy, but only about 158 million people in the labor market to fill them - a shortfall of 10 million workers, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics estimates. One of the biggest factors behind the decline in workforce readiness is the steady decline in graduation rates among the nation's colleges and universities.

For other articles, go to http://www.futurist.com/futuristnews/archive/thinking_in_the_future_tense/archive__tift_endofretirement.htm

“The wild cards in our future” by Edward Cornish .  The Futurist  Washington: Jul/Aug 2003.  Vol. 37, Issue 4, p. 18 Futurists have a special term for surprising, startling events that have important consequences: wild cards. Wild cards have the power to completely upset many things and radically change many people's thinking and planning. The more extraordinary the surprise event, the more it qualifies as a wild card surprise in terms of upsetting expectations. Wild cards are not always bad; in fact, they can be extremely beneficial, such as unexpectedly inheriting a large amount of money. Any sudden occupational success may also function as a wild card, because it opens extraordinary new opportunities and changes one's relationship to other people. Wild cards are, by definition, unexpected, but that does not mean that they rarely happen. They are exceptional in the sense that they are unusual. In most wild-card events, the developments and conditions that foreshadow the surprise happening can be identified.

http://www. futurist .com

“East Asia Rising” China, Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan are drawing together and gaining ground fast, but at what cost to the rest of the world? If the 19th century belonged to Britain and the 20th century to the United States, the 21st century will surely be East Asia's. Already, South Korea, Taiwan, the eastern industrial areas of China, and Japan form an increasingly integrated economic bloc that rivals both Western Europe and the United States. Within decades, the region will become the world's dominant economic force. http://www.spectrum.ieee.org/WEBONLY/publicfeature/oct04/1004easia.html

WEB LINKS: Possibility Stories

“Can C.K. Prahalad Pass the Test?” (FastCompany)

One of the business world's most influential professors and consultants has invested millions of dollars of his own money to put himself to the test. Can he build a company around the principles that he has been teaching other high-powered leaders? And can he possibly change the world in the process?

From: FastCompany, Issue 49 August 2001, Page 108
URL: http://www.fastcompany.com/magazine/49/prahalad.html

Click here to read the story.

To read an interview with C.K. Prahalad in CIO Magazine , go to CK Prahalad - INTERVIEW - CIO Magazine Dec. 15, 2000/Jan. 1, 2001 C.K. Prahalad is a renowned corporate strategist as well as chairman and cofounder of San Diego-based Praja, which specializes in finding new ways to experience content on any Web-enabled device.

Serving the World's Poor, Profitably by CK Prahalad amd Allen Hammond, Harvard Business Review , September 1, 2002, Product #R0209C. To order an electronic pdf copy, go to http://harvardbusinessonline.hbsp.harvard.edu/b01/en/common/item_detail.jhtml?id=R0209C

The Fortune at the Bottom of the Pyramid by C.K. Prahalad and Stuart L. Hart . Click on http://www.digitaldividend.org/pdf/bottompyramid.pdf http://www.digitaldividend.org/pdf/bottompyramid.pdf

The Sustainable Company: How to Create Lasting Value Through Social and Environmental Performance by Christopher Laszlo , Chris Laszlo . To read the book review, “ The Sustainable Company is a manual for promoting sustainable growth,” click here .

Natural Capitalism -Creating the Next Industrial Revolution , by Paul Hawken, Amory Lovins, and L. Hunter Lovins, is the first book to explore the lucrative opportunities for businesses in an era of approaching environmental limits. For book excerpts and downloadable chapters, go to www. naturalcapitalism .org
In this groundbreaking blueprint for a new economy, three leading business visionaries explain how the world is on the verge of a new industrial revolution—one that promises to transform our fundamental notions about commerce and its role in shaping our future. Natural Capitalism describes a future in which business and environmental interests increasingly overlap, and in which businesses can better satisfy their customers' needs, increase profits, and help solve environmental problems all at the same time.

WEB LINKS: Human Resource Trends

Dave Ulrich is Professor of Business Administration at the University of Michigan. His teaching and research addresses the question: how to create an organization that adds value to employees, customers, and investors? He studies how organizations change fast, build capabilities, learn, remove boundaries, and leverage human resource activities.

Click here To read an excerpt from Dave Ulrich's newly released book: Why the Bottom Line ISN'T!: How to Build Value Through People and Organization with Norm Smallwood.

Click here to read an excerpt from Dave Ulrich's book Results-Based Leadership

Arielgroup.com (leadership development)

www.mhainstitute.ca

MHA Institute Inc. Mentoring Human Action

ADDITIONAL REFERENCES

Events, developments or trends that could affect business over the next 10 years.

                
Looking Ahead: Implications of the Present
Peter F. Drucker; Esther Dyson; Charles Handy; Paul Saffo; Peter M. Senge
Discipline: General management
Product Type: Harvard Business Review Article
Product#: 97503 Pub. Date: September 01, 1997
Length: 9p

On its 75th anniversary, HBR asked five of the business world's most insightful thinkers to comment on the challenges taking shape for executives...

The Elephant and the Flea: Reflections of a Reluctant Capitalist (Paperback)
Charles Handy
Discipline: General management
Product Type: HBS Press Book
Product#: 1288 Pub. Date: December 18, 2002
Length: 240p

The Elephant and the Flea is both a poignant personal memoir and a deep reflection on the past and future of world capitalism, with all its... ???

Beyond Certainty (Paperback)
Charles Handy
Discipline: General management
Product Type: HBS Press Book
Product#: 7633 Pub. Date: January 16, 1998
Length: 240p

In this collection of 35 recent essays, Handy shares his reflections on a changing world, a world in which we can be certain only of uncertainty...

Winning in the Mobile and Wireless World: How to Exploit Key Trends and Technologies for Business Success (CD-ROM)
Gartner, Inc.
Discipline: Management of information systems
Product Type: Gartner Research Report CD or Paperback
Product#: 7171CD Pub. Date: April 05, 2004
Length: 256p

This comprehensive and authoritative PDF report shows you how to achieve value from the always-connected enterprise. It offers the latest Gartner...

Rosabeth Moss Kanter on the Frontiers of Management (Paperback)
Rosabeth Moss Kanter
Discipline: General management
Product Type: HBS Press Book
Product#: 323X Pub. Date: July 10, 2003
Length: 320p

A Harvard Business Review Book. This book brings together all of Rosabeth Moss Kanter's Harvard Business Review articles and many of the...

Managing in the New Economy (Hardcover)
Joan Magretta
Discipline: Management of information systems
Product Type: HBS Press Book
Product#: 1860 Pub. Date: September 10, 1999
Length: 304p

A Harvard Business Review Book, edited and with an introduction by Joan Magretta. To help readers make sense of the managerial agenda in the...


Trends and Ideas, Fall 2003, Volume 1, Number 1
Publication Date:
Oct 15, 2003
Availability: In Stock
Type: Trends & Ideas Issue
Product Number: T03100
Length: 12p
Discipline: Organizational behavior & leadership        HBS publishing
Description: Includes the following articles: "Betting on a New Market," "Whatever Happened to Complexity Theory?" "Speeding the Plow," "Who Talks to Whom About What," and "A Matter of Trust."
Subjects Covered: Business & society, General management, Innovation, Leadership, Management communication, Organizational behavior, Personal strategy & style, Social issues.

The Quest for Resilience, A Harvard Business School Publishing Virtual Seminar CD, Multiuser
Gary Hamel
Discipline: Competitive strategy
Product Type: Conference Audio
Product#: 5240SL Pub. Date: September 09, 2003
Length: 90 min

A Harvard Business School Publishing virtual seminar CD, recorded Tuesday, September 9, 2003, featuring renowned strategy authority Gary Hamel

“Education: Classroom of the future” (The Guardian, Manchester,UK, Sep 23, 2003).

“Futurists say world is at a turning point” (Chicago Tribune, Apr 9, 2003, p.1)

“The Future of Performance” by Joe Willmore (Training & Development, Aug 2004, Vol. 58)

The Seven Day Weekend by Richard Semler

High Impact Consulting by Robert Schaffer

The Pilgrimge by Paulo Collho

Turning to One Another by Meg Wheatley

Build Bridges As You Walk On Them by Robert Quinn

Four Fold Way by Angeles Airens

Organizational Change for Corporate Sustainability by Dexter Dunphy

On Watch by Admiral Elmo Zumwalt

Designing the Global Corporation by Jay R. Galbraith

Jossey Bass 2000

Product Development for the Lean Enterprise, Why Toyota's System is Four Times more Productive and How you Can Implement it

By Michael N. Kennedy,

The Oklea Press, 2003

Rewiring the Corporate Brain by Danah Zohar

Using the New Science to Rethink how we structure and lead organizations.

Berrett Koehler 1997

Gardner, Howard (2004). Changing Minds:

The Art and Science of Changing Our Own and Other People's Minds. Boston: Harvard Business School Press.

James Surowiecki, The Wisdom of Crowds: Why the Many Are Smarter than the Few and How Collective Wisdom Shapes Business, Economics, Societies, and Nations

(New York: Doubleday, 2004)

Movies:

www.anunlikelyfriendship.com

"An Unlikely Friendship" is a film about the altogether surprising friendship that developed between an embittered Ku Klux Klan leader and an outspoken black woman activist. Told in their own words, this rich and compelling story is as sincere and down-home as the protagonists themselves.

What the Bleep do we know?

House of Sand and Fog